Prediction: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
Team pages: Arthur Fils · Taylor Fritz
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Fils
Taylor Fritz
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Fils
6-4 (W-L)
Taylor Fritz
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Arthur Fils
1–0
Taylor Fritz
(1 last)
- 26 Sept2-1 15-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Fils 1564 · Taylor Fritz 1569
| Arthur Fils | Taylor Fritz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Arthur Fils 1–0 Taylor Fritz (1).
Statistics
| Arthur Fils | Taylor Fritz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-11.4 | 12.9-11.2 |
| Aces | 8.2 | 14.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 76.7% | 81.2% |
| Break % | 31% | 32.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 48% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 52% · 1.83
H2H · Arthur Fils 1 – 0 Taylor Fritz (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arthur Fils 1–0 Taylor Fritz
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/24 ATP Tokyo | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Fils
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Tomas Machac ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/10 | Alex Michelsen ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 27/10 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/10 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 23/10 | Alex Michelsen ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/10 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Pavel Kotov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/10 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 02/10 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Luca Van Assche ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Taylor Fritz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Alex Molcan ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 03/11 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 31/10 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/10 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Tommy Paul ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz?
Our model gives 50% to Arthur Fils, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.