Prediction: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse
Team pages: Nuno Borges · Ignacio Buse
Prediction summary
Winner
Nuno Borges
Ignacio Buse
Estimated games
22.9Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nuno Borges
4-6 (W-L)
Ignacio Buse
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nuno Borges
0–1
Ignacio Buse
(1 last)
- 13 Sept1-2 11-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nuno Borges 1538 · Ignacio Buse 1503
| Nuno Borges | Ignacio Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Nuno Borges dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 52.3% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Nuno Borges 0–1 Ignacio Buse (1).
Statistics
| Nuno Borges | Ignacio Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.1 | 13.2-13.2 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 35.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -0.6
Over 23.5: 46% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 54% · 1.83
H2H · Nuno Borges 0 – 1 Ignacio Buse (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nuno Borges 0–1 Ignacio Buse
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/25 Davis Cup | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nuno Borges
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Karen Khachanov ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/11 | Moise Kouame ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/11 | Alex Molcan ATP Paris · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/10 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 30/10 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Casper Ruud ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 26/10 | Mika Brunold ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/10 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Facundo Diaz Acosta ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Novak Djokovic ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Ignacio Buse
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/11 | Zizou Bergs ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/10 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Vienna · Hard |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Zizou Bergs ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Quentin Halys ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Davis Cup |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 18/09 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi Davis Cup |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 03/09 | Benjamin Bonzi US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 8-19 | L |
| 02/09 | Marcos Giron US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 27-20 | W |
| 29/08 | Arthur Fery ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse?
Our model gives 54% to Nuno Borges, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.