Prediction: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
Team pages: Tommy Paul · Quentin Halys
Prediction summary
Winner
Tommy Paul
Quentin Halys
Estimated games
24.2Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tommy Paul
7-3 (W-L)
Quentin Halys
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tommy Paul
1–1
Quentin Halys
(2 last)
- 16 May1-2 15-17L
- 13 Oct2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tommy Paul 1568 · Quentin Halys 1520
| Tommy Paul | Quentin Halys | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tommy Paul (rating 1568 vs 1520).
- Quentin Halys dominates on serve: 17 aces and 58.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Tommy Paul | Quentin Halys | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-9.6 | 14.8-14.7 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 17 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 76.2% | 83.4% |
| Break % | 37.3% | 58.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.7
Over 22.5: 62% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 38% · 1.83
H2H · Tommy Paul 1 – 1 Quentin Halys (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tommy Paul 1–1 Quentin Halys
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/17 Challenger Bordeaux | 1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 13/10/15 Challenger Fairfield | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tommy Paul
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/11 | Holger Rune ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/10 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Vienna · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Luciano Darderi ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/10 | Andrey Rublev ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/10 | Taylor Fritz ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Corentin Moutet ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Zizou Bergs ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Quentin Halys
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 03/11 | Arthur Fery ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/10 | Holger Rune ATP Basel · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 11/10 | Alexander Zverev ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 09/10 | Alexander Blockx ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 07/10 | Coleman Wong ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/10 | Alex De Minaur ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Ignacio Buse ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/09 | Roman Safiullin ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Felix Auger Aliassime Davis Cup |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys?
Our model gives 66% to Tommy Paul, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.