Prediction: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech
Team pages: Ben Shelton · Arthur Rinderknech
Prediction summary
Winner
Ben Shelton
Arthur Rinderknech
Estimated games
27.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ben Shelton
3-7 (W-L)
Arthur Rinderknech
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ben Shelton
0–1
Arthur Rinderknech
(1 last)
- 17 Jun0-2 12-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ben Shelton 1532 · Arthur Rinderknech 1497
| Ben Shelton | Arthur Rinderknech | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 74% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Arthur Rinderknech dominates on serve: 12.9 aces and 42.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Ben Shelton 0–1 Arthur Rinderknech (1).
Statistics
| Ben Shelton | Arthur Rinderknech | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.5 | 1.3-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.2-16.1 | 15.6-14.8 |
| Aces | 12.5 | 12.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 75.3% | 77.5% |
| Break % | 37% | 42.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +5.3
Over 22.5: 82% · 1.72
Under 22.5: 18% · 2.00
H2H · Ben Shelton 0 – 1 Arthur Rinderknech (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ben Shelton 0–1 Arthur Rinderknech
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/25 ATP Queens | 0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ben Shelton
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Cameron Norrie ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/10 | Jerome Kym ATP Basel · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 27/10 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 11/10 | Arthur Gea ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 09/10 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/09 | Jakub Mensik Davis Cup |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Jiri Lehecka Davis Cup |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 18-24 | L |
| 12/09 | Frances Tiafoe US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 09/09 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 26-23 | W |
Arthur Rinderknech
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/10 | Jerome Kym ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Felix Auger Aliassime Davis Cup |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Liam Draxl Davis Cup |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Daniil Medvedev US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 12-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Jaume Munar US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 20-13 | W |
| 30/08 | Sho Shimabukuro US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 25-17 | W |
| 16/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 08/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 05/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech?
Our model gives 66% to Ben Shelton, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.