Prediction: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
Team pages: Alex Molcan · Taylor Fritz
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Molcan
Taylor Fritz
Estimated games
22Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Molcan
6-4 (W-L)
Taylor Fritz
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alex Molcan
0–1
Taylor Fritz
(1 last)
- 02 Jul0-3 11-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Molcan 1583 · Taylor Fritz 1571
| Alex Molcan | Taylor Fritz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 24% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alex Molcan 0–1 Taylor Fritz (1).
Statistics
| Alex Molcan | Taylor Fritz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10.5 | 12.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 11.4 |
| Double faults | 0.5 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 75.5% | 81% |
| Break % | 37.5% | 35.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -0.5
Over 22.5: 47% · 2.00
Under 22.5: 53% · 1.72
H2H · Alex Molcan 0 – 1 Taylor Fritz (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alex Molcan 0–1 Taylor Fritz
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/22 Wimbledon | 0-3 | 11-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Molcan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Titouan Droguet ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 01/11 | Nuno Borges ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/10 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/10 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Vienna · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/10 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Federico Cina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Karen Khachanov ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Tomas Machac ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Vit Kopriva ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
Taylor Fritz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 31/10 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/10 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/10 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Tommy Paul ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/10 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz?
Our model gives 64% to Taylor Fritz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.