Prediction: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien
Team pages: Luca Van Assche · Learner Tien
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Van Assche
Learner Tien
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Van Assche
2-8 (W-L)
Learner Tien
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Luca Van Assche
0–1
Learner Tien
(1 last)
- 26 Oct0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Van Assche 1480 · Learner Tien 1518
| Luca Van Assche | Learner Tien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Luca Van Assche 0–1 Learner Tien (1).
Statistics
| Luca Van Assche | Learner Tien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-13.3 | 12.1-11.9 |
| Aces | 7 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 73.7% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 26.6% | 38.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +0.8
Over 22.5: 55% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 45% · 1.90
H2H · Luca Van Assche 0 – 1 Learner Tien (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Luca Van Assche 0–1 Learner Tien
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/26 ATP Vienna | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Van Assche
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Mariano Navone ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/10 | Learner Tien ATP Vienna · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 22/10 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 20/10 | Clement Tabur ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/10 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Arthur Fils ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Denis Shapovalov US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 30/08 | Cameron Norrie US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Learner Tien
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 28/10 | Alex De Minaur ATP Vienna · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Luca Van Assche ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/10 | Casper Ruud ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Zachary Svajda ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 01/10 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/09 | Alexander Zverev Laver Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Flavio Cobolli Laver Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 19/09 | Jiri Lehecka Davis Cup |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Jakub Mensik Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien?
Our model gives 61% to Learner Tien, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.