Prediction: Nuno Borges vs Karen Khachanov
Team pages: Nuno Borges · Karen Khachanov
Prediction summary
Winner
Nuno Borges
Karen Khachanov
Estimated games
22.4Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nuno Borges
3-7 (W-L)
Karen Khachanov
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nuno Borges
0–2
Karen Khachanov
(2 last)
- 04 Jul2-3 27-28L
- 22 May1-3 17-20L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nuno Borges 1510 · Karen Khachanov 1520
| Nuno Borges | Karen Khachanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Karen Khachanov dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 44.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Nuno Borges 0–2 Karen Khachanov (2).
Statistics
| Nuno Borges | Karen Khachanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.2 | 12.9-11.5 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 7.7 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 79% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 49% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 51% · 1.83
H2H · Nuno Borges 0 – 2 Karen Khachanov (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nuno Borges 0–2 Karen Khachanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/25 Wimbledon | 2-3 | 27-28 | L |
| 22/05/22 French Open | 1-3 | 17-20 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nuno Borges
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Moise Kouame ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/11 | Alex Molcan ATP Paris · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/10 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 30/10 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Casper Ruud ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 26/10 | Mika Brunold ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/10 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Facundo Diaz Acosta ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Novak Djokovic ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Learner Tien US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
Karen Khachanov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Vienna · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Alexander Bublik ATP Almaty · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 22/10 | Tomas Machac ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 20/10 | Rei Sakamoto ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Alex De Minaur ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Arthur Fery ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 04/10 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Alex Molcan ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nuno Borges vs Karen Khachanov?
Our model gives 58% to Karen Khachanov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.