Prediction: Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe
Team pages: Quentin Halys · Frances Tiafoe
Prediction summary
Winner
Quentin Halys
Frances Tiafoe
Estimated games
28.1Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Quentin Halys
5-5 (W-L)
Frances Tiafoe
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Quentin Halys
3–1
Frances Tiafoe
(4 last)
- 12 May0-2 9-13L
- 12 Oct2-1 17-13W
- 30 Apr2-1 18-13W
- 14 Apr2-1 16-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Quentin Halys 1495 · Frances Tiafoe 1524
| Quentin Halys | Frances Tiafoe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Quentin Halys dominates on serve: 17.1 aces and 52.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Quentin Halys 3–1 Frances Tiafoe (4).
Statistics
| Quentin Halys | Frances Tiafoe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.4 | 1.8-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 16-16.1 | 16.4-15.1 |
| Aces | 17.1 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 83.9% | 74% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 39.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
28.1 · Bet365 line 24.5 · +3.6
Over 24.5: 74% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 26% · 1.83
H2H · Quentin Halys 3 – 1 Frances Tiafoe (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Quentin Halys 3–1 Frances Tiafoe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/17 Challenger Aix en Provence | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/10/16 Challenger Fairfield | 2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 30/04/16 Challenger Tallahassee | 2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 14/04/16 Challenger Sarasota | 2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Quentin Halys
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Arthur Fery ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/10 | Holger Rune ATP Basel · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 11/10 | Alexander Zverev ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 09/10 | Alexander Blockx ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 07/10 | Coleman Wong ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/10 | Alex De Minaur ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Ignacio Buse ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/09 | Roman Safiullin ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Felix Auger Aliassime Davis Cup |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 04/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 26-29 | L |
Frances Tiafoe
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Vienna · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/10 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 09/10 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/10 | Arthur Fils ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Kei Nishikori ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/09 | Ben Shelton US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 17-23 | L |
| 08/09 | Alex Michelsen US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 28-27 | W |
| 06/09 | Daniil Medvedev US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 20-16 | W |
| 05/09 | Valentin Vacherot US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Rei Sakamoto US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 20-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe?
Our model gives 56% to Frances Tiafoe, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.