Tennis · M25 Guadalajara · 03/11, 22:30

Prediction: Rodrigo Alujas vs Alan Sau Franco

Team pages: Rodrigo Alujas · Alan Sau Franco

Prediction summary
Winner
78% 22%
Rodrigo Alujas Alan Sau Franco
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Rodrigo Alujas 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLLLWWLL
Alan Sau Franco 1-9 (W-L)
LWLLLLLLLL
Head-to-head
Rodrigo Alujas 1–0 Alan Sau Franco (1 last)
  • 05 Nov2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rodrigo Alujas 1511 · Alan Sau Franco 1376
Rodrigo AlujasAlan Sau Franco
Our model69%31%
Market87%13%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rodrigo Alujas (rating 1511 vs 1376).
  • Rodrigo Alujas is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Rodrigo Alujas 1–0 Alan Sau Franco (1).

Statistics

Rodrigo AlujasAlan Sau Franco
Win %50%0%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 0% (6)
Sets (G-P)1-1.10.3-2
Games (G-P)10-9.96.9-12.5
Aces1.41.3
Double faults3.62.3
1st serve %61.9%56.4%
Break %48.5%29.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

H2H · Rodrigo Alujas 1 – 0 Alan Sau Franco (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rodrigo Alujas 1–0 Alan Sau Franco

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DateSetsGamesRes.
05/11/25
M25 Guadalajara
2-013-10W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rodrigo Alujas

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/11 Frazier Rengifo
M15 Mazatlan
0-2 12-14 L
31/10 Rafael De Alba
M15 Mazatlan
2-1 18-13 W
30/10 Maxwell McKennon
M15 Mazatlan
2-0 13-7 W
28/10 Marco Alvarez
M15 Mazatlan
2-0 12-3 W
13/10 Petros Tsitsipas
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
07/10 Max Houkes
M25 Kigali
0-2 5-12 L
01/10 Calvin Hemery
M25 Kigali
0-2 5-12 L
30/09 Mehluli Don Ayanda Sibanda
M25 Kigali
2-0 12-6 W
20/08 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
19/08 Martin Antonio Vergara del Puerto
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W

Alan Sau Franco

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Jesse Flores
M15 Mazatlan
1-2 9-16 L
14/09 Benjamin Thomas George
M25 Sintra
0-2 7-12 L
07/09 Miguel Semedo
M25 Sintra
0-2 9-13 L
16/06 Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
09/06 Kemal Arda Karakas
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
03/06 Romain Faucon
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 6-13 L
28/04 Drew Van Orderlain
M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard
0-2 3-7 L
24/04 Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
M25 Xalapa · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
29/03 Tibo Colson
Challenger San Luis Potosi · Clay
1-2 9-14 L
22/03 Facundo Mena
Challenger Morelia · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rodrigo Alujas vs Alan Sau Franco?

Our model gives 78% to Rodrigo Alujas, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.