Tennis · M25 Guadalajara · 03/11, 22:30
Prediction: Rodrigo Alujas vs Alan Sau Franco
Team pages: Rodrigo Alujas · Alan Sau Franco
Prediction summary
Winner
Rodrigo Alujas
Alan Sau Franco
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Rodrigo Alujas
4-6 (W-L)
Alan Sau Franco
1-9 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rodrigo Alujas
1–0
Alan Sau Franco
(1 last)
- 05 Nov2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rodrigo Alujas 1511 · Alan Sau Franco 1376
| Rodrigo Alujas | Alan Sau Franco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rodrigo Alujas (rating 1511 vs 1376).
- Rodrigo Alujas is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Rodrigo Alujas 1–0 Alan Sau Franco (1).
Statistics
| Rodrigo Alujas | Alan Sau Franco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 0% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 0% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 0.3-2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-9.9 | 6.9-12.5 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 56.4% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 29.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Rodrigo Alujas 1 – 0 Alan Sau Franco (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rodrigo Alujas 1–0 Alan Sau Franco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/25 M25 Guadalajara | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rodrigo Alujas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Frazier Rengifo M15 Mazatlan |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 31/10 | Rafael De Alba M15 Mazatlan |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 30/10 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Marco Alvarez M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/10 | Petros Tsitsipas M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Max Houkes M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Calvin Hemery M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Mehluli Don Ayanda Sibanda M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Martin Antonio Vergara del Puerto M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Alan Sau Franco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Jesse Flores M15 Mazatlan |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 14/09 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Miguel Semedo M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Kemal Arda Karakas M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Romain Faucon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Drew Van Orderlain M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 24/04 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/03 | Tibo Colson Challenger San Luis Potosi · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 22/03 | Facundo Mena Challenger Morelia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rodrigo Alujas vs Alan Sau Franco?
Our model gives 78% to Rodrigo Alujas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

