Tennis · M25 Guadalajara · 03/11, 22:00
Prediction: Patricio Alvarado vs Lorenzo Claverie
Team pages: Lorenzo Claverie
Prediction summary
Winner
Patricio Alvarado
Lorenzo Claverie
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Patricio Alvarado
5-5 (W-L)
Lorenzo Claverie
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patricio Alvarado 1518 · Lorenzo Claverie 1461
| Patricio Alvarado | Lorenzo Claverie | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Patricio Alvarado (rating 1518 vs 1461).
- Note: Lorenzo Claverie makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Patricio Alvarado | Lorenzo Claverie | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-9 | 10.5-12.6 |
| Aces | – | 8.6 |
| Double faults | – | 4 |
| 1st serve % | – | 74.6% |
| Break % | – | 33.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patricio Alvarado
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Tomas Martinez Challenger Quito Qual · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Evan Wen UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/06 | Ilan Klein UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 13/06 | Holland Snell UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/06 | Xavier Calvelo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Robert Yang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 08/06 | Nolan Balthazor UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | David Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Lorenzo Claverie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/10 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Mwendwa Mbithi M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/10 | Mauricio Echazu M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 23/08 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 26/07 | Tristan Boyer ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patricio Alvarado vs Lorenzo Claverie?
Our model gives 65% to Lorenzo Claverie, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.