Tennis · M25 Guadalajara · 03/11, 21:00
Prediction: Matias Soto vs Frazier Rengifo
Team pages: Matias Soto · Frazier Rengifo
Prediction summary
Winner
Matias Soto
Frazier Rengifo
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Matias Soto
4-6 (W-L)
Frazier Rengifo
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matias Soto
0–1
Frazier Rengifo
(1 last)
- 31 Oct0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matias Soto 1459 · Frazier Rengifo 1503
| Matias Soto | Frazier Rengifo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Frazier Rengifo (rating 1459 vs 1503).
- Head-to-head: Matias Soto 0–1 Frazier Rengifo (1).
Statistics
| Matias Soto | Frazier Rengifo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.3-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-9.8 | 10.2-7.8 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 37% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Matias Soto 0 – 1 Frazier Rengifo (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matias Soto 0–1 Frazier Rengifo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 M15 Mazatlan | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matias Soto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Frazier Rengifo M15 Mazatlan |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/10 | Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/10 | Lance A L Castelan M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Martin Landaluce Davis Cup |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Frazier Rengifo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Rodrigo Alujas M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 31/10 | Matias Soto M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/10 | Jesse Flores M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 27/10 | Carlo Arena Fava M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/10 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Nicolas Villalon Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Niklas Schell M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 02/09 | Thiago Cigarran M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Hugo Garcia Gomez UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matias Soto vs Frazier Rengifo?
Our model gives 67% to Matias Soto, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.