Tennis · M25 Guadalajara · 03/11, 17:30
Prediction: Jesse Flores vs Tarun Karra
Team pages: Jesse Flores · Tarun Karra
Prediction summary
Winner
Jesse Flores
Tarun Karra
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jesse Flores
3-7 (W-L)
Tarun Karra
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jesse Flores 1436 · Tarun Karra 1530
| Jesse Flores | Tarun Karra | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tarun Karra (rating 1436 vs 1530).
- Tarun Karra is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jesse Flores | Tarun Karra | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.6 | 11.8-10.9 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 64% |
| Break % | 18.2% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jesse Flores
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Frazier Rengifo M15 Mazatlan |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 27/10 | Alan Sau Franco M15 Mazatlan |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 18/10 | Franco Ribero Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Alexandr Binda M25 Yinchuan |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Reiya Komagata M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Naoya Honda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Oliver Okonkwo M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Karl Poling M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Alec Beckley M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Tarun Karra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Marcel Hornung M25 Guadalajara |
2-1 | 7-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Joaquin Bianchi M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/10 | Patricio Llanes Echavarria M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Cyrus Ahmad UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-1 | 15-18 | W |
| 27/08 | Vincent Weaver UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Henrik Bladelius UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Aryan Jit Singh UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 26/07 | Keerthivassan Suresh UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 25/07 | Kevin Titus Suresh UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 23/07 | Sandesh Dattatray Kurale UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jesse Flores vs Tarun Karra?
Our model gives 60% to Jesse Flores, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.