Tennis · M25 Guadalajara · 03/11, 18:00
Prediction: Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Team pages: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Prediction summary
Winner
Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi
1-9 (W-L)
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi 1437 · Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes 1508
| Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes (rating 1437 vs 1508).
Statistics
| Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 22% (9) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-10.8 | 10.9-11.6 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 64.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Anirudh Rao M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/10 | Tristan McCormick M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 12/10 | Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 07/10 | Lucas Andrade da Silva M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Nicolas Hollender M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Liam Delicata M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 30/06 | Guglielmo Verdese M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Francisco Tomas Geschwind M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/12 | Valentin Garay ITF M15 Lima · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/11 | Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola ITF M15 Santiago · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 22/10 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Gabriele Bosio M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Eero Vasa M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Alexander Chang M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/08 | Karl Poling M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes?
Our model gives 76% to Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.