Prediction: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
Team pages: Arthur Fils · Tomas Machac
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Fils
Tomas Machac
Estimated games
22.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Fils
6-4 (W-L)
Tomas Machac
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Arthur Fils
1–0
Tomas Machac
(1 last)
- 18 Jun2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Fils 1575 · Tomas Machac 1557
| Arthur Fils | Tomas Machac | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Arthur Fils 1–0 Tomas Machac (1).
Statistics
| Arthur Fils | Tomas Machac | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-11.4 | 12.6-8.5 |
| Aces | 8.5 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 74.1% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 49% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 51% · 1.83
H2H · Arthur Fils 1 – 0 Tomas Machac (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arthur Fils 1–0 Tomas Machac
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/24 ATP Halle | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Fils
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Alex Michelsen ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 27/10 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/10 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Brussels · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 23/10 | Alex Michelsen ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/10 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Pavel Kotov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/10 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 02/10 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Luca Van Assche ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Tomas Machac
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/11 | Sebastian Baez ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/10 | Martin Landaluce ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/10 | Alex De Minaur ATP Vienna · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 24/10 | Corentin Moutet ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Karen Khachanov ATP Almaty · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 21/10 | Zangar Nurlanuly ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/10 | Liam Draxl Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 15/10 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/10 | Alexandre Muller Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac?
Our model gives 60% to Arthur Fils, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.