Prediction: Ben Shelton vs Cameron Norrie
Team pages: Ben Shelton · Cameron Norrie
Prediction summary
Winner
Ben Shelton
Cameron Norrie
Estimated games
26.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ben Shelton
3-7 (W-L)
Cameron Norrie
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ben Shelton
0–1
Cameron Norrie
(1 last)
- 19 Aug0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ben Shelton 1530 · Cameron Norrie 1472
| Ben Shelton | Cameron Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ben Shelton (rating 1530 vs 1472).
- Head-to-head: Ben Shelton 0–1 Cameron Norrie (1).
Statistics
| Ben Shelton | Cameron Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.5 | 1.1-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.8-16.3 | 12.4-14.1 |
| Aces | 13.1 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 38.7% | 37.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +4.3
Over 22.5: 78% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 22% · 1.83
H2H · Ben Shelton 0 – 1 Cameron Norrie (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ben Shelton 0–1 Cameron Norrie
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/22 ATP Cincinnati | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ben Shelton
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Jerome Kym ATP Basel · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 27/10 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 11/10 | Arthur Gea ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 09/10 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/09 | Jakub Mensik Davis Cup |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Jiri Lehecka Davis Cup |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 18-24 | L |
| 12/09 | Frances Tiafoe US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 09/09 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 26-23 | W |
| 07/09 | Stefanos Tsitsipas US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
Cameron Norrie
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 29/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Vienna · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/10 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Alexander Zverev ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Luca Van Assche US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 14-24 | L |
| 16/08 | Alexander Zverev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Dino Prizmic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ben Shelton vs Cameron Norrie?
Our model gives 66% to Ben Shelton, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.