Prediction: Casper Ruud vs Rafael Jodar
Team pages: Casper Ruud · Rafael Jodar
Prediction summary
Winner
Casper Ruud
Rafael Jodar
Estimated games
23.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Casper Ruud
7-3 (W-L)
Rafael Jodar
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Casper Ruud
0–1
Rafael Jodar
(1 last)
- 16 Oct1-2 13-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Casper Ruud 1545 · Rafael Jodar 1573
| Casper Ruud | Rafael Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Casper Ruud 0–1 Rafael Jodar (1).
Statistics
| Casper Ruud | Rafael Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-10.6 | 14.1-11.3 |
| Aces | 8.9 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 76.3% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 39.4% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1
Over 22.5: 57% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 43% · 1.83
H2H · Casper Ruud 0 – 1 Rafael Jodar (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Casper Ruud 0–1 Rafael Jodar
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/26 ATP Shanghai | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Casper Ruud
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Nuno Borges ATP Basel · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 26/10 | Dominic Stephan Stricker ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/10 | Rafael Jodar ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/10 | Learner Tien ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/10 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Luciano Darderi ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Francisco Cerundolo Laver Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 22-19 | W |
| 19/09 | Fnu Nidunjianzan Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/09 | Rigele Te Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Rafael Jodar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/10 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Basel · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 27/10 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 17/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Casper Ruud ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 14/10 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 12/10 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 10/10 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Casper Ruud vs Rafael Jodar?
Our model gives 57% to Rafael Jodar, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.