Tennis · ATP Paris · 03/11, 13:00

Prediction: Benjamin Bonzi vs Taylor Fritz

Team pages: Benjamin Bonzi · Taylor Fritz

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Benjamin Bonzi Taylor Fritz
Estimated games
24Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Bonzi 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLLLWLWW
Taylor Fritz 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Benjamin Bonzi 1524 · Taylor Fritz 1552
Benjamin BonziTaylor Fritz
Our model46%54%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Benjamin Bonzi dominates on serve: 10.4 aces and 40.8% break avg.

Statistics

Benjamin BonziTaylor Fritz
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.6-1.41.4-0.8
Games (G-P)14.9-13.612.1-10.8
Aces10.410.1
Double faults2.31.1
1st serve %76.9%80%
Break %40.8%26.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 24 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.5
Over 22.5: 60% · 2.00 Under 22.5: 40% · 1.72

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Benjamin Bonzi

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/11 Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Paris · Hard
2-1 16-15 W
31/10 Tallon Griekspoor
ATP Paris · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
21/10 Tommy Paul
ATP Lyon · Hard
1-2 14-18 L
20/10 Cameron Norrie
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-1 15-12 W
14/10 Mika Brunold
Challenger Roanne · Hard
1-2 12-14 L
12/10 Hugo Grenier
Challenger Roanne · Hard
2-1 18-11 W
28/09 August Holmgren
Challenger Porto · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
05/09 Karen Khachanov
US Open · Hard
0-3 9-18 L
03/09 Ignacio Buse
US Open · Hard
3-0 19-8 W
02/09 Alex Molcan
US Open · Hard
3-1 21-15 W

Taylor Fritz

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/10 Valentin Vacherot
ATP Basel · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
29/10 Denis Shapovalov
ATP Basel · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
28/10 Rinky Hijikata
ATP Basel · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
25/10 Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Lyon · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
24/10 Tommy Paul
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
23/10 Daniel Altmaier
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
22/10 Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
12/10 Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Shanghai · Hard
1-2 14-16 L
10/10 Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
01/10 Jaume Munar
ATP Tokyo · Hard
1-2 14-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Benjamin Bonzi vs Taylor Fritz?

Our model gives 64% to Taylor Fritz, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.