Tennis · ATP Paris · 02/11, 15:30

Prediction: Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas Machac

Team pages: Kyrian Jacquet · Tomas Machac

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Kyrian Jacquet Tomas Machac
Estimated games
21.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kyrian Jacquet 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWLWWL
Tomas Machac 7-3 (W-L)
LWWLWLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kyrian Jacquet 1549 · Tomas Machac 1530
Kyrian JacquetTomas Machac
Our model53%47%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Kyrian JacquetTomas Machac
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.81.5-0.8
Games (G-P)11.6-10.512.3-9.1
Aces7.64.9
Double faults1.81.4
1st serve %79.5%72.8%
Break %37.1%51.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -0.9
Over 22.5: 43% · 1.83 Under 22.5: 57% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kyrian Jacquet

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/10 Brandon Nakashima
ATP Lyon · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
20/10 Matteo Berrettini
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
18/10 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
06/10 Rei Sakamoto
ATP Shanghai · Hard
1-2 18-18 L
05/10 Tianhui Zhang
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
04/10 Jaume Munar
ATP Tokyo · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
02/10 Luciano Darderi
ATP Tokyo · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
01/10 Holger Rune
ATP Tokyo · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
28/09 Andrey Rublev
ATP Hangzhou · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
27/09 Fabian Marozsan
ATP Hangzhou · Hard
2-0 13-10 W

Tomas Machac

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/11 Sebastian Baez
ATP Paris · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
31/10 Martin Landaluce
ATP Paris · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
26/10 Alex De Minaur
ATP Vienna · Hard
1-2 13-13 L
24/10 Corentin Moutet
ATP Vienna · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
22/10 Karen Khachanov
ATP Almaty · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
21/10 Zangar Nurlanuly
ATP Almaty · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
16/10 Liam Draxl
Challenger Jinan · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
15/10 Aleksandar Vukic
Challenger Jinan · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
13/10 Alexandre Muller
Challenger Jinan · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
09/10 Alexander Bublik
ATP Shanghai · Hard
0-2 10-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kyrian Jacquet vs Tomas Machac?

Our model gives 54% to Tomas Machac, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.