Prediction: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Team pages: Casper Ruud · Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Prediction summary
Winner
Casper Ruud
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Estimated games
23.7Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Casper Ruud
6-4 (W-L)
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Casper Ruud
1–2
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
(3 last)
- 05 Aug2-0 12-3W
- 17 Jul1-2 13-16L
- 18 Jul1-2 11-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Casper Ruud 1524 · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1507
| Casper Ruud | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Casper Ruud 1–2 Juan Manuel Cerundolo (3).
Statistics
| Casper Ruud | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-11.4 | 12.1-12.3 |
| Aces | 8.6 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74.8% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 34.8% | 29% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +2.2
Over 21.5: 65% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 35% · 1.90
H2H · Casper Ruud 1 – 2 Juan Manuel Cerundolo (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Casper Ruud 1–2 Juan Manuel Cerundolo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/26 ATP Montreal | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07/26 ATP Gstaad | 1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/07/25 ATP Gstaad | 1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Casper Ruud
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Nuno Borges ATP Basel · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 26/10 | Dominic Stephan Stricker ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/10 | Rafael Jodar ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/10 | Learner Tien ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/10 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Luciano Darderi ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Francisco Cerundolo Laver Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 22-19 | W |
| 19/09 | Fnu Nidunjianzan Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/09 | Rigele Te Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Joao Fonseca ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 31/10 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/10 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Basel · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 25/10 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/10 | Zachary Svajda ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Mariano Navone ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 26/09 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo?
Our model gives 63% to Casper Ruud, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.