Prediction: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego
Team pages: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo · Lorenzo Sonego
Prediction summary
Winner
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Lorenzo Sonego
Estimated games
24.8Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
6-4 (W-L)
Lorenzo Sonego
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
0–1
Lorenzo Sonego
(1 last)
- 24 Oct1-2 11-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 1529 · Lorenzo Sonego 1463
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Lorenzo Sonego | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (rating 1529 vs 1463).
- Adolfo Daniel Vallejo is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 0–1 Lorenzo Sonego (1).
Statistics
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Lorenzo Sonego | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.2-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.6 | 14.5-15.6 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 9.1 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 74.3% |
| Break % | 52% | 34% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8 · Bet365 line 24.5
Over 24.5: 52% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 48% · 1.83
H2H · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 0 – 1 Lorenzo Sonego (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 0–1 Lorenzo Sonego
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/26 ATP Vienna | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 24/10 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Vienna · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 10/10 | Tommy Paul ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Valentin Royer ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Rafael Jodar ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/09 | Jaime Faria ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 28/09 | Taro Daniel ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/09 | Coleman Wong ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Lorenzo Sonego
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Jaume Munar ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 25/10 | Jacob Fearnley ATP Vienna · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 24/10 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 19/10 | Moise Kouame ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 28/09 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 24/09 | James Duckworth ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 02/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 26-28 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego?
Our model gives 51% to Lorenzo Sonego, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.