Tennis · ATP Paris · 01/11, 14:30

Prediction: Nuno Borges vs Alex Molcan

Team pages: Nuno Borges · Alex Molcan

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Nuno Borges Alex Molcan
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nuno Borges 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLWLWLLL
Alex Molcan 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWWLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nuno Borges 1521 · Alex Molcan 1545
Nuno BorgesAlex Molcan
Our model47%53%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Nuno BorgesAlex Molcan
Win %50%70%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 75% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.31.5-0.8
Games (G-P)11.3-1212.2-9.9
Aces5.55
Double faults1.60.7
1st serve %69.1%75.6%
Break %50.4%38.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nuno Borges

LWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/10 Adrian Mannarino
ATP Paris · Hard
2-1 17-12 W
30/10 Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Basel · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
28/10 Casper Ruud
ATP Basel · Hard
2-1 13-13 W
26/10 Mika Brunold
ATP Basel · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
10/10 Jiri Lehecka
ATP Shanghai · Hard
1-2 12-15 L
08/10 Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
30/09 Novak Djokovic
ATP Beijing · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
01/09 Learner Tien
US Open · Hard
0-3 7-18 L
20/08 Brandon Nakashima
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
18/08 Andrey Rublev
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Alex Molcan

LWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/10 Daniel Altmaier
ATP Paris · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
25/10 Adrian Mannarino
ATP Vienna · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
24/10 Hamad Medjedovic
ATP Vienna · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
07/10 Federico Cina
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-1 16-9 W
02/10 Karen Khachanov
ATP Beijing · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
01/10 Tomas Machac
ATP Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
29/09 Marco Trungelliti
ATP Beijing · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
28/09 Vit Kopriva
ATP Beijing · Hard
2-1 16-18 W
20/09 Stefanos Tsitsipas
Davis Cup
1-2 13-14 L
19/09 Stefanos Sakellaridis
Davis Cup
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nuno Borges vs Alex Molcan?

Our model gives 53% to Nuno Borges, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.