Prediction: Ugo Humbert vs Botic Van De Zandschulp
Team pages: Ugo Humbert · Botic Van De Zandschulp
Prediction summary
Winner
Ugo Humbert
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Estimated games
24Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ugo Humbert
5-5 (W-L)
Botic Van De Zandschulp
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ugo Humbert
5–0
Botic Van De Zandschulp
(5 last)
- 03 Feb2-0 12-7W
- 03 Jul3-0 19-10W
- 26 Apr2-0 12-6W
- 22 Mar2-0 12-7W
- 07 Oct2-1 13-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ugo Humbert 1443 · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1486
| Ugo Humbert | Botic Van De Zandschulp | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Botic Van De Zandschulp (rating 1443 vs 1486).
- Botic Van De Zandschulp is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ugo Humbert 5–0 Botic Van De Zandschulp (5).
- Note: Ugo Humbert makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Ugo Humbert | Botic Van De Zandschulp | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.7 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-14.7 | 12-12.7 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 71% |
| Break % | 34.9% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.5
Over 22.5: 60% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 40% · 1.90
H2H · Ugo Humbert 5 – 0 Botic Van De Zandschulp (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ugo Humbert 5–0 Botic Van De Zandschulp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/26 ATP Montpellier | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07/24 Wimbledon | 3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 26/04/24 ATP Madrid | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/03/24 ATP Miami | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/10/23 ATP Shanghai | 2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ugo Humbert
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Novak Djokovic ATP Basel · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Corentin Moutet ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 09/10 | Arthur Gea ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 03/10 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Ben Shelton ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Andres Martin ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Zizou Bergs Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 22-26 | L |
Botic Van De Zandschulp
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Alex Michelsen ATP Basel · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 20/10 | Clement Chidekh ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Rafael Jodar ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 12/10 | Arthur Fils ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/10 | Alex Michelsen ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 01/10 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 29/09 | Jie Cui ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Valentin Royer ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ugo Humbert vs Botic Van De Zandschulp?
Our model gives 52% to Ugo Humbert, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.