Tennis · ATP Paris · 03/11, 11:00

Prediction: Quentin Halys vs Arthur Fery

Team pages: Quentin Halys · Arthur Fery

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Quentin Halys Arthur Fery
Estimated games
26.2Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Quentin Halys 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWWWWLLL
Arthur Fery 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWLWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Quentin Halys 1507 · Arthur Fery 1474
Quentin HalysArthur Fery
Our model55%45%
Market62%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Quentin Halys dominates on serve: 17.4 aces and 52.6% break avg.
  • Note: Quentin Halys makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Quentin HalysArthur Fery
Win %40%40%
Win % · Hard 44% (9) 33% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.6-1.51-1.5
Games (G-P)17.1-16.711.9-13.2
Aces17.42.4
Double faults4.31.9
1st serve %83.4%65.4%
Break %52.6%38.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 26.2 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +3.7
Over 22.5: 74% · 1.83 Under 22.5: 26% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Quentin Halys

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/10 Holger Rune
ATP Basel · Hard
1-2 17-19 L
11/10 Alexander Zverev
ATP Shanghai · Hard
1-2 14-18 L
09/10 Alexander Blockx
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
07/10 Coleman Wong
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
03/10 Alex De Minaur
ATP Beijing · Hard
1-2 17-17 L
01/10 Ignacio Buse
ATP Beijing · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
26/09 Roman Safiullin
ATP Hangzhou · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
19/09 Felix Auger Aliassime
Davis Cup
1-2 15-17 L
04/09 Alexander Zverev
US Open · Hard
2-3 26-29 L
01/09 Facundo Diaz Acosta
US Open · Hard
3-1 25-17 W

Arthur Fery

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/10 Alexander Zverev
ATP Vienna · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
29/10 Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Vienna · Hard
2-1 17-15 W
20/10 Borna Gojo
ATP Lyon · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
09/10 Karen Khachanov
ATP Shanghai · Hard
1-2 19-20 L
07/10 Marin Cilic
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
01/10 Jaime Faria
ATP Tokyo · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
19/09 Alvaro Guillen Meza
Davis Cup
2-0 13-5 W
01/09 Lorenzo Musetti
US Open · Hard
0-3 11-19 L
29/08 Ignacio Buse
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
28/08 Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-1 16-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Quentin Halys vs Arthur Fery?

Our model gives 59% to Quentin Halys, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.