Prediction: Andrey Rublev vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Team pages: Andrey Rublev · Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrey Rublev
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Estimated games
25Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Andrey Rublev
5-5 (W-L)
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Andrey Rublev
1–1
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
(2 last)
- 19 Jun1-2 16-19L
- 08 Aug2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrey Rublev 1491 · Tomas Martin Etcheverry 1441
| Andrey Rublev | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrey Rublev (rating 1491 vs 1441).
Statistics
| Andrey Rublev | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.2-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-12.2 | 13.5-13.6 |
| Aces | 9.5 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.8% | 76.1% |
| Break % | 22.9% | 34.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.5
Over 22.5: 67% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 33% · 1.80
H2H · Andrey Rublev 1 – 1 Tomas Martin Etcheverry (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Andrey Rublev 1–1 Tomas Martin Etcheverry
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/25 ATP Halle | 1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 08/08/24 ATP Montreal | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrey Rublev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Tommy Paul ATP Vienna · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Almaty · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 09/10 | Rei Sakamoto ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Alex De Minaur ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Roman Safiullin ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/10 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 29/09 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Hugo Gaston ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 25/09 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Vienna · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Almaty · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 10/10 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 25/09 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Alex Michelsen US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 14-19 | L |
| 04/09 | Mariano Navone US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Jacob Fearnley US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-15 | W |
| 30/08 | Vit Kopriva US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Terence Atmane ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrey Rublev vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry?
Our model gives 63% to Andrey Rublev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.