Prediction: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
Team pages: Luca Van Assche · Mariano Navone
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Van Assche
Mariano Navone
Estimated games
24.3Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Van Assche
2-8 (W-L)
Mariano Navone
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Van Assche 1463 · Mariano Navone 1440
| Luca Van Assche | Mariano Navone | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Luca Van Assche | Mariano Navone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 0.9-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-13 | 13.2-14.9 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 25.2% | 33.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +0.8
Over 23.5: 55% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 45% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Van Assche
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Learner Tien ATP Vienna · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 22/10 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 20/10 | Clement Tabur ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/10 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Arthur Fils ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Denis Shapovalov US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 30/08 | Cameron Norrie US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Mariano Navone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/10 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/10 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Alex De Minaur ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Matteo Berrettini US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 22-19 | W |
| 31/08 | Novak Djokovic US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 28-22 | W |
| 25/08 | James Duckworth ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Alexander Blockx ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone?
Our model gives 53% to Luca Van Assche, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.