Tennis · ATP Paris · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: Felix Balshaw vs Yannick Hanfmann

Team pages: Felix Balshaw · Yannick Hanfmann

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Felix Balshaw Yannick Hanfmann
Estimated games
25.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Felix Balshaw 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWWLWLW
Yannick Hanfmann 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLLLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Felix Balshaw 1492 · Yannick Hanfmann 1468
Felix BalshawYannick Hanfmann
Our model53%47%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Felix BalshawYannick Hanfmann
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.41-1.6
Games (G-P)14-14.312.4-14.4
Aces8.611.2
Double faults2.93.2
1st serve %73.5%73.2%
Break %35.8%33.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 25.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.8
Over 22.5: 69% · 1.83 Under 22.5: 31% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Felix Balshaw

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Ugo Blanchet
Challenger Brest · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
21/10 Corentin Moutet
ATP Lyon · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
19/10 Jaime Faria
ATP Lyon · Hard
2-1 16-11 W
16/10 Mika Brunold
Challenger Roanne · Hard
1-2 12-14 L
15/10 Matisse Bobichon
Challenger Roanne · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
13/10 Gauthier Onclin
Challenger Roanne · Hard
2-1 18-15 W
06/10 Joel Schwaerzler
Challenger Villena · Hard
1-2 15-19 L
02/10 Henry Bernet
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
01/10 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-1 18-17 W
29/09 Billy Harris
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-1 17-18 W

Yannick Hanfmann

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/10 Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Basel · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
25/10 Rinky Hijikata
ATP Basel · Hard
2-1 13-13 W
24/10 Marcos Giron
ATP Basel · Hard
2-1 17-13 W
19/10 Martin Damm
ATP Brussels · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
09/10 Frances Tiafoe
ATP Shanghai · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
07/10 Kamil Majchrzak
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-1 20-19 W
28/09 Tomas Machac
ATP Beijing · Hard
1-2 17-19 L
31/08 Alejandro Tabilo
US Open · Hard
1-3 15-24 L
16/08 Arthur Fils
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
14/08 Luca Van Assche
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Felix Balshaw vs Yannick Hanfmann?

Our model gives 55% to Yannick Hanfmann, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.