Prediction: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jaume Munar
Team pages: Lorenzo Sonego · Jaume Munar
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Sonego
Jaume Munar
Estimated games
25.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Sonego
4-6 (W-L)
Jaume Munar
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lorenzo Sonego
1–2
Jaume Munar
(3 last)
- 21 Aug1-2 11-16L
- 12 Aug1-2 11-15L
- 28 Jul2-1 15-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Sonego 1434 · Jaume Munar 1564
| Lorenzo Sonego | Jaume Munar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jaume Munar (rating 1434 vs 1564).
- Jaume Munar is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Lorenzo Sonego 1–2 Jaume Munar (3).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Sonego | Jaume Munar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.8 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-15.5 | 13.2-10.1 |
| Aces | 9.1 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 74.8% | 73.5% |
| Break % | 32.6% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.8
Over 22.5: 69% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 31% · 1.83
H2H · Lorenzo Sonego 1 – 2 Jaume Munar (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lorenzo Sonego 1–2 Jaume Munar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/25 ATP Winston-Salem | 1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 12/08/24 ATP Cincinnati | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/07/23 ATP Umag | 2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Sonego
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Jacob Fearnley ATP Vienna · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 24/10 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 19/10 | Moise Kouame ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 28/09 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 24/09 | James Duckworth ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 02/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 26-28 | L |
| 27/08 | James Duckworth ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Jaume Munar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Federico Cina ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 04/10 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Jaime Faria ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/10 | Taylor Fritz ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Marcos Giron ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 12/09 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Sonego vs Jaume Munar?
Our model gives 67% to Jaume Munar, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.