Prediction: Nuno Borges vs Adrian Mannarino
Team pages: Nuno Borges · Adrian Mannarino
Prediction summary
Winner
Nuno Borges
Adrian Mannarino
Estimated games
22.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nuno Borges
4-6 (W-L)
Adrian Mannarino
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nuno Borges
3–0
Adrian Mannarino
(3 last)
- 21 Jun2-0 12-4W
- 13 Apr2-0 12-7W
- 14 Aug2-1 15-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nuno Borges 1519 · Adrian Mannarino 1564
| Nuno Borges | Adrian Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrian Mannarino (rating 1519 vs 1564).
- Head-to-head: Nuno Borges 3–0 Adrian Mannarino (3).
Statistics
| Nuno Borges | Adrian Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.6 | 11.5-11.5 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 5 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 48% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 52% · 1.83
H2H · Nuno Borges 3 – 0 Adrian Mannarino (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nuno Borges 3–0 Adrian Mannarino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/26 ATP Mallorca | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/04/26 ATP Barcelona | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08/24 ATP Cincinnati | 2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nuno Borges
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Casper Ruud ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 26/10 | Mika Brunold ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/10 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Facundo Diaz Acosta ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Novak Djokovic ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Learner Tien US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 20/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Andrey Rublev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Adrian Mannarino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Vienna · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Jakub Mensik ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/10 | Ignacio Buse ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 25/10 | Alex Molcan ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/10 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/10 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Andrey Rublev ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/10 | Karen Khachanov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nuno Borges vs Adrian Mannarino?
Our model gives 53% to Nuno Borges, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.