Prediction: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Team pages: Juan Manuel Cerundolo · Aleksandar Kovacevic
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Estimated games
24.3Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
5-5 (W-L)
Aleksandar Kovacevic
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
1–0
Aleksandar Kovacevic
(1 last)
- 23 Apr2-1 16-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1478 · Aleksandar Kovacevic 1419
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Aleksandar Kovacevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Manuel Cerundolo (rating 1478 vs 1419).
- Head-to-head: Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1–0 Aleksandar Kovacevic (1).
Statistics
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Aleksandar Kovacevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 0.8-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12.7 | 12.5-14.9 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 11.1 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.6% | 74.9% |
| Break % | 28.7% | 29.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3 · Bet365 line 24.5
Over 24.5: 49% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 51% · 1.83
H2H · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1 – 0 Aleksandar Kovacevic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1–0 Aleksandar Kovacevic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/25 ATP Madrid | 2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Basel · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 25/10 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/10 | Zachary Svajda ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Mariano Navone ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 26/09 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Yi Zhou ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 19-23 | L |
Aleksandar Kovacevic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Ben Shelton ATP Basel · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 25/10 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/10 | James Duckworth ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Almaty · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Jaume Munar ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Zachary Svajda ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Lloyd Harris ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Valentin Vacherot US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 28/08 | Arthur Fery ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Aleksandar Kovacevic?
Our model gives 54% to Juan Manuel Cerundolo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.