Tennis · ATP Paris · 31/10, 12:30

Prediction: Tomas Machac vs Martin Landaluce

Team pages: Tomas Machac · Martin Landaluce

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Tomas Machac Martin Landaluce
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Machac 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWWLWLWW
Martin Landaluce 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWWLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tomas Machac 1514 · Martin Landaluce 1503
Tomas MachacMartin Landaluce
Our model52%48%
Market61%39%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Tomas MachacMartin Landaluce
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.11.4-1.1
Games (G-P)11.8-10.413.1-12.3
Aces4.74.5
Double faults1.63
1st serve %70.5%70.3%
Break %48.9%37.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +0.8
Over 22.5: 56% · 1.83 Under 22.5: 44% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tomas Machac

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/10 Alex De Minaur
ATP Vienna · Hard
1-2 13-13 L
24/10 Corentin Moutet
ATP Vienna · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
22/10 Karen Khachanov
ATP Almaty · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
21/10 Zangar Nurlanuly
ATP Almaty · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
16/10 Liam Draxl
Challenger Jinan · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
15/10 Aleksandar Vukic
Challenger Jinan · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
13/10 Alexandre Muller
Challenger Jinan · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
09/10 Alexander Bublik
ATP Shanghai · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
07/10 Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Shanghai · Hard
2-1 14-14 W
01/10 Alex Molcan
ATP Beijing · Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Martin Landaluce

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Alexander Zverev
ATP Vienna · Hard
1-2 17-17 L
21/10 Stan Wawrinka
ATP Lyon · Hard
1-2 16-19 L
18/10 Mattia Bellucci
Challenger Jinan · Hard
1-2 11-16 L
17/10 Liam Draxl
Challenger Jinan · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
16/10 Keegan Smith
Challenger Jinan · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
14/10 Jie Cui
Challenger Jinan · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
13/10 Ilia Simakin
Challenger Jinan · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
08/10 Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Shanghai · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
28/09 Marco Trungelliti
ATP Beijing · Hard
1-2 14-19 L
20/09 Matias Soto
Davis Cup
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tomas Machac vs Martin Landaluce?

Our model gives 57% to Tomas Machac, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.