Prediction: Hugo Gaston vs Vit Kopriva
Team pages: Hugo Gaston · Vit Kopriva
Prediction summary
Winner
Hugo Gaston
Vit Kopriva
Estimated games
22.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Gaston
3-7 (W-L)
Vit Kopriva
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hugo Gaston
2–0
Vit Kopriva
(2 last)
- 10 Jan2-0 12-6W
- 24 Aug2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Gaston 1505 · Vit Kopriva 1401
| Hugo Gaston | Vit Kopriva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hugo Gaston (rating 1505 vs 1401).
- Hugo Gaston is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Hugo Gaston 2–0 Vit Kopriva (2).
Statistics
| Hugo Gaston | Vit Kopriva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-12.8 | 9.7-12.8 |
| Aces | 3 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 40.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 49% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 51% · 1.83
H2H · Hugo Gaston 2 – 0 Vit Kopriva (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hugo Gaston 2–0 Vit Kopriva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 ATP Auckland | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/08/21 US Open | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Gaston
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 20/10 | Jacob Fearnley ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 12/10 | Daniel Jade Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/10 | Liam Draxl ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Andrey Rublev ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 25/09 | Jaime Faria ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/09 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Daniil Medvedev US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
Vit Kopriva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Lukas Neumayer ATP Vienna · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Zizou Bergs ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Alex Molcan ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 25/09 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Jia Hu ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 22/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Gaston vs Vit Kopriva?
Our model gives 65% to Hugo Gaston, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.