Prediction: Tallon Griekspoor vs Benjamin Bonzi
Team pages: Tallon Griekspoor · Benjamin Bonzi
Prediction summary
Winner
Tallon Griekspoor
Benjamin Bonzi
Estimated games
25Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tallon Griekspoor
3-7 (W-L)
Benjamin Bonzi
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tallon Griekspoor
2–1
Benjamin Bonzi
(3 last)
- 14 May2-0 12-7W
- 07 Jan2-1 17-14W
- 20 Jun1-2 17-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tallon Griekspoor 1559 · Benjamin Bonzi 1490
| Tallon Griekspoor | Benjamin Bonzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tallon Griekspoor (rating 1559 vs 1490).
- Tallon Griekspoor dominates on serve: 13.5 aces and 48.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Tallon Griekspoor 2–1 Benjamin Bonzi (3).
Statistics
| Tallon Griekspoor | Benjamin Bonzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.5-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.4-14 | 13.7-13.4 |
| Aces | 13.5 | 7.9 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 78% | 74.3% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 32.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.5
Over 22.5: 67% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 33% · 1.90
H2H · Tallon Griekspoor 2 – 1 Benjamin Bonzi (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tallon Griekspoor 2–1 Benjamin Bonzi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/26 Challenger Bordeaux | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/01/23 ATP Pune | 2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 20/06/17 Challenger Blois | 1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tallon Griekspoor
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Alexander Zverev ATP Vienna · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/10 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/10 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 23/10 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Mariano Navone ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Max Schoenhaus ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 08/10 | Pavel Kotov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Andrey Rublev ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 24/09 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Benjamin Bonzi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Tommy Paul ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 20/10 | Cameron Norrie ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Mika Brunold Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 12/10 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 28/09 | August Holmgren Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Karen Khachanov US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Ignacio Buse US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Alex Molcan US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-15 | W |
| 28/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tallon Griekspoor vs Benjamin Bonzi?
Our model gives 63% to Tallon Griekspoor, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.