Prediction: Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaier
Team pages: Alex Molcan · Daniel Altmaier
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Molcan
Daniel Altmaier
Estimated games
24.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Molcan
6-4 (W-L)
Daniel Altmaier
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alex Molcan
3–0
Daniel Altmaier
(3 last)
- 22 Jul2-1 16-14W
- 01 Jul3-1 22-17W
- 16 Apr2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Molcan 1532 · Daniel Altmaier 1473
| Alex Molcan | Daniel Altmaier | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Molcan (rating 1532 vs 1473).
- Head-to-head: Alex Molcan 3–0 Daniel Altmaier (3).
Statistics
| Alex Molcan | Daniel Altmaier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.1 | 11.8-13.4 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 8.7 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 38.3% | 33.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3
H2H · Alex Molcan 3 – 0 Daniel Altmaier (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alex Molcan 3–0 Daniel Altmaier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07/26 ATP Kitzbuhel | 2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 01/07/26 Wimbledon | 3-1 | 22-17 | W |
| 16/04/26 ATP Munich | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Molcan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Vienna · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/10 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Federico Cina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Karen Khachanov ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Tomas Machac ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Vit Kopriva ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 20/09 | Stefanos Tsitsipas Davis Cup |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Daniel Altmaier
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/10 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Basel · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 25/10 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Basel · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/10 | Henry Bernet ATP Basel · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 23/10 | Taylor Fritz ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Borna Gojo ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Titouan Droguet ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 09/10 | Ben Shelton ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Holger Rune ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 28/09 | Jie Cui ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaier?
Our model gives 57% to Alex Molcan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.