Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 25/10, 04:00
Prediction: Coleman Wong vs Tristan Schoolkate
Team pages: Coleman Wong · Tristan Schoolkate
Prediction summary
Winner
Coleman Wong
Tristan Schoolkate
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Coleman Wong
7-3 (W-L)
Tristan Schoolkate
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Coleman Wong
3–0
Tristan Schoolkate
(3 last)
- 15 Feb2-0 12-8W
- 01 Mar2-0 13-9W
- 27 Oct2-1 20-19W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coleman Wong 1634 · Tristan Schoolkate 1509
| Coleman Wong | Tristan Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coleman Wong (rating 1634 vs 1509).
- Coleman Wong dominates on serve: 15.6 aces and 48% break avg.
- Coleman Wong is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Coleman Wong 3–0 Tristan Schoolkate (3).
Statistics
| Coleman Wong | Tristan Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 86% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-8.9 | 13.1-12.2 |
| Aces | 15.6 | 11.3 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 80% | 80% |
| Break % | 48% | 39.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Coleman Wong 3 – 0 Tristan Schoolkate (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coleman Wong 3–0 Tristan Schoolkate
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 ATP Delray Beach | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/03/24 Challenger New Delhi | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/10/23 Challenger Playford | 2-1 | 20-19 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coleman Wong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Yi Zhou Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Jake Delaney Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/10 | Quentin Halys ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Lloyd Harris ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Cruz Hewitt ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Yibing Wu Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Khumoyun Sultanov Asian Games |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Kasidit Samrej Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Tristan Schoolkate
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 23/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Dane Sweeny ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Harold Mayot Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Philip Henning Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 19/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coleman Wong vs Tristan Schoolkate?
Our model gives 66% to Coleman Wong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.