Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 23/10, 04:00
Prediction: Yi Zhou vs Andre Ilagan
Team pages: Yi Zhou · Andre Ilagan
Prediction summary
Winner
Yi Zhou
Andre Ilagan
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Yi Zhou
6-4 (W-L)
Andre Ilagan
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yi Zhou 1536 · Andre Ilagan 1500
| Yi Zhou | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Yi Zhou | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.8 | 11.2-12.3 |
| Aces | 8.5 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 79.1% | 71.4% |
| Break % | 22.3% | 33.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yi Zhou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/10 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/10 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 07/10 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 28/09 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Jie Cui Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Andre Ilagan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 14/10 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 02/10 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Matthew Dellavedova Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/09 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 26/08 | Hugo Gaston US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yi Zhou vs Andre Ilagan?
Our model gives 57% to Yi Zhou, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.