Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 24/10, 05:00
Prediction: Coleman Wong vs Yi Zhou
Team pages: Coleman Wong · Yi Zhou
Prediction summary
Winner
Coleman Wong
Yi Zhou
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Coleman Wong
7-3 (W-L)
Yi Zhou
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Coleman Wong
1–0
Yi Zhou
(1 last)
- 01 Nov2-1 17-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coleman Wong 1593 · Yi Zhou 1526
| Coleman Wong | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coleman Wong (rating 1593 vs 1526).
- Coleman Wong dominates on serve: 15.2 aces and 47.7% break avg.
- Coleman Wong is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Coleman Wong 1–0 Yi Zhou (1).
Statistics
| Coleman Wong | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-8.5 | 11.5-11.5 |
| Aces | 15.2 | 8 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 79.7% | 78.6% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 25.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Coleman Wong 1 – 0 Yi Zhou (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coleman Wong 1–0 Yi Zhou
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/25 Challenger Seoul | 2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coleman Wong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Jake Delaney Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/10 | Quentin Halys ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Lloyd Harris ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Cruz Hewitt ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Yibing Wu Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Khumoyun Sultanov Asian Games |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Kasidit Samrej Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/09 | Zaid Mashni Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Yi Zhou
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/10 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/10 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/10 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 07/10 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 28/09 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Jie Cui Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coleman Wong vs Yi Zhou?
Our model gives 62% to Coleman Wong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.