Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 23/10, 09:00
Prediction: Akira Santillan vs Jie Cui
Team pages: Akira Santillan · Jie Cui
Prediction summary
Winner
Akira Santillan
Jie Cui
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Akira Santillan
6-4 (W-L)
Jie Cui
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Akira Santillan 1544 · Jie Cui 1498
| Akira Santillan | Jie Cui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Akira Santillan (rating 1544 vs 1498).
- Akira Santillan dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 42.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Akira Santillan | Jie Cui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11 | 12.2-12.1 |
| Aces | 7.9 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 75.5% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Akira Santillan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Liam Broady Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Alex Bolt ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Kaigaoge Kang ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Yaojie Zeng Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Jie Cui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Yibing Wu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Martin Landaluce Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Fajing Sun Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/10 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 18/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Davis Cup |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/09 | Yi Zhou Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Akira Santillan vs Jie Cui?
Our model gives 55% to Jie Cui, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.