Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 24/10, 06:30
Prediction: Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui
Team pages: Tristan Schoolkate · Jie Cui
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan Schoolkate
Jie Cui
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Schoolkate
5-5 (W-L)
Jie Cui
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tristan Schoolkate
0–2
Jie Cui
(2 last)
- 09 May0-2 6-12L
- 09 May0-2 11-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Schoolkate 1505 · Jie Cui 1523
| Tristan Schoolkate | Jie Cui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tristan Schoolkate dominates on serve: 10.9 aces and 41.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Tristan Schoolkate 0–2 Jie Cui (2).
Statistics
| Tristan Schoolkate | Jie Cui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-12 | 12.4-11.5 |
| Aces | 10.9 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 78.7% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
H2H · Tristan Schoolkate 0 – 2 Jie Cui (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tristan Schoolkate 0–2 Jie Cui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/25 Challenger Wuxi | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/05/24 Challenger Wuxi | 0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Schoolkate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Dane Sweeny ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Harold Mayot Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Philip Henning Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 19/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/09 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Jie Cui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Akira Santillan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Yibing Wu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Martin Landaluce Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Fajing Sun Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/10 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 18/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Davis Cup |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Schoolkate vs Jie Cui?
Our model gives 56% to Tristan Schoolkate, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.