Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 23/10, 11:30
Prediction: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Adrian Oetzbach
Team pages: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes · Adrian Oetzbach
Prediction summary
Winner
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Adrian Oetzbach
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
5-5 (W-L)
Adrian Oetzbach
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes 1520 · Adrian Oetzbach 1500
| Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | Adrian Oetzbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Adrian Oetzbach makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | Adrian Oetzbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.2 | 10.5-11 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 62.3% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Gabriele Bosio M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Eero Vasa M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Alexander Chang M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/08 | Karl Poling M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/08 | Max Sheldon M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Adrian Oetzbach
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Leonardo Iemmi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 11/10 | Florian Broska Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 04/10 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Imanol Lopez Morillo Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Riccardo Trione Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/09 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Eero Vasa M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes vs Adrian Oetzbach?
Our model gives 59% to Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.