Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 21/10, 10:00
Prediction: Gabriele Bosio vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Team pages: Gabriele Bosio · Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Bosio
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Bosio
5-5 (W-L)
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Bosio 1492 · Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes 1496
| Gabriele Bosio | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Gabriele Bosio | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.5 | 11.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 53.7% | 54.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Bosio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Valerio Bracci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Stijn Paardekooper M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Karol Malirz M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Leonardo Angeloni M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Manuel Mazza M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/09 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 04/09 | Blu Baker M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Eero Vasa M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Alexander Chang M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/08 | Karl Poling M25 East Lansing |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/08 | Max Sheldon M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/08 | Tyler Bowers M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Noah Zamora M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Bosio vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes?
Our model gives 63% to Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.