Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 22/10, 11:30
Prediction: Lorenzo Carboni vs Lorenzo Angelini
Team pages: Lorenzo Carboni · Lorenzo Angelini
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Carboni
Lorenzo Angelini
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Carboni
6-4 (W-L)
Lorenzo Angelini
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Carboni 1517 · Lorenzo Angelini 1478
| Lorenzo Carboni | Lorenzo Angelini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lorenzo Carboni | Lorenzo Angelini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-9.7 | 9.5-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 56.3% | 57.2% |
| Break % | 59.9% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Carboni
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Tommaso Compagnucci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Alexander Chang M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Luca Nardi Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Federico Iannaccone M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Sander Jong M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Daniel Michalski M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Gabriele Pennaforti M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/09 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Lorenzo Angelini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Arthur Bellegy M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/10 | Raffaele Ciurnelli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 11/10 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 28/09 | Garrett Johns Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 23/09 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Carboni vs Lorenzo Angelini?
Our model gives 59% to Lorenzo Carboni, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.