Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 21/10, 10:00
Prediction: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Lorenzo Carboni
Team pages: Tommaso Compagnucci · Lorenzo Carboni
Prediction summary
Winner
Tommaso Compagnucci
Lorenzo Carboni
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Tommaso Compagnucci
5-5 (W-L)
Lorenzo Carboni
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tommaso Compagnucci 1530 · Lorenzo Carboni 1501
| Tommaso Compagnucci | Lorenzo Carboni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Tommaso Compagnucci | Lorenzo Carboni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10 | 8.1-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 53.7% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 61.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tommaso Compagnucci
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Pietro Marino M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/10 | Branko Djuric M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Pierluigi Basile M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/10 | Alexander Chang M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 23/09 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 17/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Riccardo Carpano Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/08 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Lorenzo Carboni
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Alexander Chang M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Luca Nardi Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Federico Iannaccone M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Sander Jong M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Daniel Michalski M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Gabriele Pennaforti M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/09 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tommaso Compagnucci vs Lorenzo Carboni?
Our model gives 60% to Tommaso Compagnucci, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.