Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 21/10, 14:30
Prediction: Adrian Oetzbach vs Leonardo Iemmi
Team pages: Adrian Oetzbach · Leonardo Iemmi
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrian Oetzbach
Leonardo Iemmi
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Adrian Oetzbach
4-6 (W-L)
Leonardo Iemmi
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrian Oetzbach 1471 · Leonardo Iemmi 1488
| Adrian Oetzbach | Leonardo Iemmi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Adrian Oetzbach | Leonardo Iemmi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.9 | 8.6-10.4 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrian Oetzbach
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 11/10 | Florian Broska Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 04/10 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Imanol Lopez Morillo Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Riccardo Trione Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/09 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Eero Vasa M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/09 | Bruno Fernandez M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Lucio Ratti M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Leonardo Iemmi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Linus Lagerbohm M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Giulio Stella M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Adam Kaczmarek M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Przemyslaw Michocki M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Maximilian Figl M15 Nova Gorica |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Samuel Rovai M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Gian Marco Ortenzi M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/05 | Francesco Ferrari M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrian Oetzbach vs Leonardo Iemmi?
Our model gives 69% to Adrian Oetzbach, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.