Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 21/10, 09:30
Prediction: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Fausto Tabacco
Team pages: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini · Fausto Tabacco
Prediction summary
Winner
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Fausto Tabacco
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
5-5 (W-L)
Fausto Tabacco
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
0–1
Fausto Tabacco
(1 last)
- 13 Oct0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 1528 · Fausto Tabacco 1531
| Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | Fausto Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 0–1 Fausto Tabacco (1).
- Note: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Fausto Tabacco makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | Fausto Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.2 | 11.1-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 6.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 0 – 1 Fausto Tabacco (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 0–1 Fausto Tabacco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/26 M25 Santa Margherita | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Gabriele Maria Noce M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Edouard Villoslada M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/10 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Burgas |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Jannik Maute M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 10-1 | W |
| 21/09 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Alexander Weis M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Mattias Pisanu M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/09 | Kirill Kivattsev M15 Budapest |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Fausto Tabacco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Giulio Stella M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Marcel Zielinski M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Alexander Weis M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Jack Anthrop M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Fausto Tabacco?
Our model gives 67% to Fausto Tabacco, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.