Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 21/10, 04:00
Prediction: Khumoyun Sultanov vs Andre Ilagan
Team pages: Khumoyun Sultanov · Andre Ilagan
Prediction summary
Winner
Khumoyun Sultanov
Andre Ilagan
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Khumoyun Sultanov
8-2 (W-L)
Andre Ilagan
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Khumoyun Sultanov 1538 · Andre Ilagan 1497
| Khumoyun Sultanov | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Khumoyun Sultanov (rating 1538 vs 1497).
Statistics
| Khumoyun Sultanov | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10 | 11.4-13 |
| Aces | 11 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 82.8% | 71% |
| Break % | 22.6% | 28.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Khumoyun Sultanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/10 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Xiaoyin Yang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Coleman Wong Asian Games |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Chun Hsin Tseng Asian Games |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Fanming Meng Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Hunter Heck Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Andre Ilagan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 14/10 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 02/10 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Matthew Dellavedova Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/09 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 26/08 | Hugo Gaston US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Tristan Boyer US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Khumoyun Sultanov vs Andre Ilagan?
Our model gives 56% to Andre Ilagan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.