Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 21/10, 11:00
Prediction: Zhizhen Zhang vs Yi Zhou
Team pages: Zhizhen Zhang · Yi Zhou
Prediction summary
Winner
Zhizhen Zhang
Yi Zhou
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Zhizhen Zhang
4-6 (W-L)
Yi Zhou
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zhizhen Zhang 1439 · Yi Zhou 1511
| Zhizhen Zhang | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yi Zhou (rating 1439 vs 1511).
- Yi Zhou is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Zhizhen Zhang | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-13.1 | 11.9-12.7 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 8.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 76.1% |
| Break % | 30% | 29.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zhizhen Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/10 | Tomas Machac ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Arthur Gea ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Coleman Wong ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 22/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Justin Boulais Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Henry Searle Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Yi Zhou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/10 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/10 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 07/10 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 28/09 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Jie Cui Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/09 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zhizhen Zhang vs Yi Zhou?
Our model gives 57% to Yi Zhou, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.