Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 21/10, 04:00
Prediction: Coleman Wong vs Kasidit Samrej
Team pages: Coleman Wong · Kasidit Samrej
Prediction summary
Winner
Coleman Wong
Kasidit Samrej
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Coleman Wong
7-3 (W-L)
Kasidit Samrej
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Coleman Wong
2–1
Kasidit Samrej
(3 last)
- 01 Oct2-0 12-3W
- 31 Oct1-2 16-19L
- 24 Sept2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coleman Wong 1562 · Kasidit Samrej 1569
| Coleman Wong | Kasidit Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Coleman Wong is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Coleman Wong 2–1 Kasidit Samrej (3).
- Note: Kasidit Samrej makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Coleman Wong | Kasidit Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-9.8 | 10.4-10.7 |
| Aces | 13.8 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 78.7% | 79% |
| Break % | 25.3% | 20.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Coleman Wong 2 – 1 Kasidit Samrej (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coleman Wong 2–1 Kasidit Samrej
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/26 Asian Games | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/10/24 Challenger Seoul | 1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 24/09/24 Challenger Nonthaburi | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coleman Wong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Jake Delaney Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/10 | Quentin Halys ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Lloyd Harris ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Cruz Hewitt ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Yibing Wu Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Khumoyun Sultanov Asian Games |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Kasidit Samrej Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/09 | Zaid Mashni Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 26/09 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Kasidit Samrej
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Naoya Honda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 08/10 | Fajing Sun Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Coleman Wong Asian Games |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Pradip Khadka Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coleman Wong vs Kasidit Samrej?
Our model gives 70% to Coleman Wong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.