Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 20/10, 10:00
Prediction: Leonardo Iemmi vs Linus Lagerbohm
Team pages: Leonardo Iemmi · Linus Lagerbohm
Prediction summary
Winner
Leonardo Iemmi
Linus Lagerbohm
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Leonardo Iemmi
3-7 (W-L)
Linus Lagerbohm
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leonardo Iemmi 1454 · Linus Lagerbohm 1553
| Leonardo Iemmi | Linus Lagerbohm | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linus Lagerbohm (rating 1454 vs 1553).
- Linus Lagerbohm is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Leonardo Iemmi | Linus Lagerbohm | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-11.1 | 11.5-7.7 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.6% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 57.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leonardo Iemmi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Giulio Stella M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Adam Kaczmarek M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Przemyslaw Michocki M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Maximilian Figl M15 Nova Gorica |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Samuel Rovai M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Gian Marco Ortenzi M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/05 | Francesco Ferrari M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Linus Lagerbohm
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Branko Djuric M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/10 | Giammarco Gandolfi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/09 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Szczawno |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Michael Agwi M15 Szczawno |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Jan Chlodnicki M15 Szczawno |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/09 | Peetu Pohjola M15 Szczawno |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Noah Thurner M15 Szczawno |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/08 | John Sperle M15 Trier |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Jan Hrazdil M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Mikolaj Migdalski M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leonardo Iemmi vs Linus Lagerbohm?
Our model gives 77% to Linus Lagerbohm, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.