Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 20/10, 10:00
Prediction: Eero Vasa vs Michael Wright
Team pages: Eero Vasa · Michael Wright
Prediction summary
Winner
Eero Vasa
Michael Wright
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Eero Vasa
5-5 (W-L)
Michael Wright
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eero Vasa 1538 · Michael Wright 1506
| Eero Vasa | Michael Wright | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Michael Wright dominates on serve: 7.5 aces and 46.6% break avg.
- Note: Michael Wright makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Eero Vasa | Michael Wright | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-0.9 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-9.6 | 11.3-11.4 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 7.5 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 30.3% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eero Vasa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Falun |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Wojciech Marek M25 Falun |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Kenzo Koistila Larsson M25 Falun |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Sizya Ernest Kivanda M25 Falun |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/09 | Valentin Vacherot Davis Cup |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Meerbusch |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Romain Faucon M25 Meerbusch |
1-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 04/09 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Michael Wright
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Boris Sarritzu M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Erik Gahnstrom M25 Falun |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Filip Hesser M25 Falun |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/09 | Oscar Weightman M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Jared Horwood M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Alex Kobelt M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Barney Fitzpatrick M15 Dublin |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/07 | Max Benaim M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Dominique Rolland M25 Porto |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 09/06 | Marcos Castro Fabra M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eero Vasa vs Michael Wright?
Our model gives 74% to Eero Vasa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.