Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 20/10, 04:00
Prediction: Liam Broady vs Dominik Palan
Team pages: Liam Broady · Dominik Palan
Prediction summary
Winner
Liam Broady
Dominik Palan
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Liam Broady
1-9 (W-L)
Dominik Palan
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Liam Broady 1382 · Dominik Palan 1462
| Liam Broady | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dominik Palan (rating 1382 vs 1462).
- Dominik Palan dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 42.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Liam Broady | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (8) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.8 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-13.7 | 10.3-12.7 |
| Aces | 4 | 7.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 74.1% |
| Break % | 24.2% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liam Broady
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 24/08 | Marco Cecchinato US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Ozan Baris Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 10/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Dominik Palan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Semen Pankin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Arthur Weber Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/10 | Sergey Fomin M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Terence Atmane Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Ji Sung Nam Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liam Broady vs Dominik Palan?
Our model gives 59% to Liam Broady, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.